Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
2026 race tracker
The Senate and Governor races that decide 2026 — who holds the seat, who is running, and what the nonpartisan raters say. Every rating links to the outlet that published it. Make your own call and see how readers compare.
Ratings come from The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Ballotpedia and change often. We link the source for every race — always check it for the current call. Reader predictions are opinion, not a poll or a forecast.
U.S. Senate
Georgia U.S. Senate
Toss UpJon Ossoff · Running for re-election
Democrats' most exposed incumbent of the cycle in a state decided by a point in 2020 and 2022.
· The Cook Political Report
Race details and predictionNorth Carolina U.S. Senate
Thom Tillis · Retiring — open seat
An open Republican seat with a former two-term Democratic governor on the ballot.
· Ballotpedia
Race details and predictionMaine U.S. Senate
Susan Collins · Running for re-election
The last New England Republican in the Senate, in a state Democrats have carried in every recent presidential race.
· Ballotpedia
Race details and predictionMichigan U.S. Senate
Gary Peters · Retiring — open seat
An open Democratic seat in a true battleground state.
· Ballotpedia
Race details and predictionTexas U.S. Senate
Toss UpJohn Cornyn · Lost the Republican primary runoff
Moved from Lean Republican to Toss-up in August 2026 after the incumbent lost his primary runoff.
· Sabato's Crystal Ball
Race details and predictionIowa U.S. Senate
Lean RJoni Ernst · Retiring — open seat
Shifted from Likely Republican to Lean Republican in June 2026 after the incumbent announced her retirement.
· The Cook Political Report
Race details and predictionNew Hampshire U.S. Senate
Jeanne Shaheen · Retiring — open seat
An open Democratic seat; the state primary was held in September 2026.
· Ballotpedia
Race details and predictionOhio U.S. Senate (special)
Jon Husted · Appointed — running to finish the term
A special election for the remainder of the term vacated in 2025, with a former Democratic senator running.
· Ballotpedia
Race details and predictionFlorida U.S. Senate (special)
Safe RepublicanAshley Moody · Appointed — running to finish the term
Moved from Likely Republican to Safe Republican in August 2026.
· Sabato's Crystal Ball
Race details and prediction
Governors
Georgia Governor
Toss UpOpen seat — incumbent term-limited
Rated a toss-up after moving from Tilt Republican in June 2026.
· The Cook Political Report
Race details and predictionMichigan Governor
Tilt DOpen seat — incumbent term-limited
Moved from Toss-up to Tilt Democratic in June 2026.
· The Cook Political Report
Race details and predictionPennsylvania Governor
Safe DRunning for re-election
Moved from Likely to Safe Democratic in June 2026.
· The Cook Political Report
Race details and predictionIowa Governor
Toss UpOpen seat — incumbent not running
Moved from Lean Republican to Toss-up in June 2026.
· The Cook Political Report
Race details and predictionOhio Governor
Lean ROpen seat — incumbent term-limited
Moved from Likely to Lean Republican in June 2026.
· The Cook Political Report
Race details and predictionOregon Governor
Lean DRunning for re-election
Moved from Safe to Lean Democratic in June 2026.
· The Cook Political Report
Race details and predictionNevada Governor
Joe Lombardo · Running for re-election
A Republican incumbent in a state Democrats have carried in most recent statewide races.
· Ballotpedia
Race details and predictionCalifornia Governor
Open seat — incumbent term-limited
An open seat for the country's largest state.
· Ballotpedia
Race details and predictionAlaska Governor
Likely ROpen seat — incumbent term-limited
Moved from Safe to Likely Republican in June 2026.
· The Cook Political Report
Race details and prediction
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